Where and when is Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo played?

Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Liga Mercedes, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Liga Mercedes, Mercedes, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Mercedes

Puerto Nuevo

The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 51%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for Puerto Nuevo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Mercedes (1,581) and Puerto Nuevo (1,509).

Mercedes win51 %

Draw32 %

Puerto Nuevo win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercedes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Puerto Nuevo have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mercedes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Berazategui(away)	1-0	Primera C

Puerto Nuevo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(home)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 14, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	2-2	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Juventud Unida(away)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	1-0	Primera C
Jul 23, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Mercedes win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Puerto Nuevo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Puerto Nuevo 1-1 Mercedes	Primera C
Aug 24, 2025	Mercedes 1-1 Puerto Nuevo	Primera C
May 11, 2025	Puerto Nuevo 1-2 Mercedes	Primera C
Oct 20, 2024	Puerto Nuevo 2-2 Mercedes	Primera C
May 21, 2024	Mercedes 1-0 Puerto Nuevo	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Puerto Nuevo score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mercedes	1.3	0.7	7	4/15	3/15
Puerto Nuevo	0.8	0.9	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mercedes sit 6th in Primera C (36 points from 25 matches) and Puerto Nuevo sit 9th (35 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
9	Puerto Nuevo	25	8	11	6	22	24	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo?: The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 51%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for Puerto Nuevo.
Where and when is Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo played?: Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Liga Mercedes, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.