Where and when is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes played?

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo Paraguayo

Mercedes

The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 46%, against 36% for a draw and 18% for Deportivo Paraguayo. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes?

Mercedes starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,430).

Deportivo Paraguayo win18 %

Draw36 %

Mercedes win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Paraguayo have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Paraguayo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventud Unida(home)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(home)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Sacachispas(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Argentino Rosario(home)	2-1	Primera C

Mercedes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Berazategui(away)	1-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Paraguayo win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Mercedes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Mercedes 0-0 Deportivo Paraguayo	Primera C
Oct 3, 2025	Mercedes 2-0 Deportivo Paraguayo	Primera C
Sep 26, 2025	Deportivo Paraguayo 0-0 Mercedes	Primera C
Aug 10, 2024	Mercedes 2-1 Deportivo Paraguayo	Primera C
Mar 8, 2024	Deportivo Paraguayo 0-1 Mercedes	Primera C
Nov 20, 2023	Deportivo Paraguayo 0-2 Mercedes	Primera D

Last archived meeting: Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Paraguayo score 0.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Paraguayo	0.4	1.1	5	3/15	3/15
Mercedes	1.3	0.7	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Paraguayo sit 13th in Primera C (23 points from 25 matches) and Mercedes sit 6th (36 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	25	5	8	12	14	31	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes?: The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 46%, against 36% for a draw and 18% for Deportivo Paraguayo.
Where and when is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes played?: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.