Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Oud-Heverlee Leuven II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Oud-Heverlee Leuven II (1,749) and Merelbeke (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Merelbeke have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Merelbeke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1-3 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Merelbeke 2-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Merelbeke 2-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 10 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab model makes Oud-Heverlee Leuven II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke played?
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.