Merelbeke vs Houtvenne: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Houtvenne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Houtvenne?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,837) and Houtvenne (1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Houtvenne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Houtvenne
Not enough data to predict the Houtvenne lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Houtvenne have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Merelbeke win, 0 draws, 1 Houtvenne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-1 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Houtvenne 3-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Houtvenne on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Houtvenne score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Houtvenne | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Houtvenne sit 12th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Houtvenne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Houtvenne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Houtvenne played?
- Merelbeke vs Houtvenne is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.