Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab AI model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spouwen-Mopertingen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Tienen (1,873) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Not enough data to predict the Spouwen-Mopertingen lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 11:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mandel United(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Heist(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tienen wins, 1 draw, 1 Spouwen-Mopertingen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-2 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 0-2 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Tienen 0-5 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tienen 1-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 0-4 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-4 Tienen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tienen sit 15th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Tienen vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.