Match

Mérida AD vs CD Coria: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida

Mérida ADCD Coria

The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mérida AD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mérida AD vs CD Coria?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,817) and CD Coria (1,853).

41%28%31%
Mérida AD winDrawCD Coria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs CD Coria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; CD Coria have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mérida AD wins, 2 draws, 1 CD Coria win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2022CD Coria 1-1 Mérida ADSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 10, 2021Mérida AD 0-1 CD CoriaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Aug 14, 2021Mérida AD 0-0 CD CoriaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: CD Coria vs Mérida AD on Feb 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mérida AD sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and CD Coria sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Mérida AD730411129
18CD Coria712410155

A question about Mérida AD vs CD Coria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CD Coria.
Where and when is Mérida AD vs CD Coria played?
Mérida AD vs CD Coria is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mérida AD and CD Coria

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