Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 8B. Abelenda
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 21Jon Sillero
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and UD Logroñés sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 13 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés played?
- Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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