Where and when is Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés played?

Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés

Real Avilés

UD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,868).

Real Avilés win27 %

Draw28 %

UD Logroñés win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Avilés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Mosconia(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Racing Ferrol(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

UD Logroñés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Huesca II(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026	Mirandes(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Huesca(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	SS Reyes(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Avilés	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	8/15
UD Logroñés	2.0	0.6	9	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Real Avilés	38	11	11	16	55	67	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?: The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés played?: Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.