Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,841) and Racing Ferrol (1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirandes
4-3-3- 11Aitor Uzkudun
- 9I. Unzueta
- 18Rodri
- 16Markel Lozano
- 19Ricardo de Moraes
- 7D. de la Iglesia
- 22Martín Aguirregabiria
- 21Aritz Arambarri
- 8R. Martinez
- 4C. Navarro
- 1Jesús Ruiz
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 4-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mirandes wins, 1 draw, 1 Racing Ferrol win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | Mirandes 4-1 Racing Ferrol | Segunda División |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Racing Ferrol 0-0 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Racing Ferrol 0-2 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mirandes 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol on Feb 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandes score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandes sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol played?
- Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Cultural LeonesavsPontevedra
- Oct 25, 2026PonferradinavsBarakaldo
- Oct 25, 2026Unionistas de SalamancavsAthletic Club II
- Oct 25, 2026CacereñovsZamora
- Oct 25, 2026Arenas GetxovsUD Ourense
- Oct 25, 2026Real UniónvsLugo
- Oct 25, 2026Deportivo La Coruña IIvsExtremadura 1924
- Oct 25, 2026Real AvilésvsUD Logroñés