Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,877) and Racing Ferrol (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mirandes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Racing Ferrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | Mirandes 4-1 Racing Ferrol | Segunda División |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Racing Ferrol 0-0 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Racing Ferrol 0-2 Mirandes | Segunda División |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mirandes 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol on Feb 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol played?
- Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 25, 2026Unionistas de SalamancavsAthletic Club II
- Oct 25, 2026CacereñovsZamora
- Oct 25, 2026Arenas GetxovsUD Ourense
- Oct 25, 2026Real UniónvsLugo
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- Oct 25, 2026Real AvilésvsUD Logroñés