Match

Mérida AD vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida

Mérida ADReal Unión

The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Unión wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mérida AD vs Real Unión?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,817) and Real Unión (1,908).

31%28%41%
Mérida AD winDrawReal Unión win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs Real Unión

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

Real Unión

4-3-3
  1. 20Ander Martín
  2. 7Unai García
  3. 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
  1. 23Sangalli
  2. 6B. Gaubeka
  3. 22Juan de la Mata
  1. 2Javi Fontán
  2. 4Jordi Pola
  3. 8P. Alvarez
  4. 3Álvaro Mateo
  1. 1Jon Tena

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Real Unión have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mirandes(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15
Real Unión2.01.6311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mérida AD sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Real Unión sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Unión723213119
12Mérida AD730411129

A question about Mérida AD vs Real Unión?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Real Unión?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Mérida AD vs Real Unión played?
Mérida AD vs Real Unión is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mérida AD and Real Unión

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