Match

Pontevedra vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraLugo

The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lugo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Lugo?

On Elo ratings, Pontevedra has 1,958 points and Lugo 1,970.

23%26%51%
Pontevedra winDrawLugo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Lugo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 2A. Argos
  4. 20Rui Ferreira
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 4Ibaider Garriz
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lugo have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club II(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026CD Coria(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win, 1 draw, 1 Lugo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Pontevedra 1-1 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 22, 2025Lugo 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 17, 2024Pontevedra 1-0 LugoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Lugo on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.71.5310/1511/15
Lugo1.30.876/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lugo761012419
15Pontevedra72239108

A question about Pontevedra vs Lugo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Lugo?
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Lugo played?
Pontevedra vs Lugo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pontevedra and Lugo

Ready to know everything about football?