Where and when is Pontevedra vs Lugo played?

Pontevedra vs Lugo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pontevedra vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

Pontevedra

Lugo

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Lugo?

Pontevedra starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,884).

Pontevedra win54 %

Draw27 %

Lugo win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Coruxo(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Estradense(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Arosa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lugo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Pontevedra 1-1 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 22, 2025	Lugo 1-0 Pontevedra	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 17, 2024	Pontevedra 1-0 Lugo	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Lugo on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pontevedra	1.9	1.3	4	9/15	11/15
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (58 points from 38 matches) and Lugo sit 9th (53 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49	31	58
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Lugo?: The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Lugo.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Lugo played?: Pontevedra vs Lugo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.