Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés played?

Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas Getxo

Real Avilés

The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,900) and Real Avilés (1,869).

Arenas Getxo win43 %

Draw25 %

Real Avilés win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Laredo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Eibar(away)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Zamora(home)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	3-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026	Racing Ferrol(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Mosconia(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Racing Ferrol(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Avilés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Arenas Getxo 3-2 Real Avilés	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 14, 2025	Real Avilés 0-0 Arenas Getxo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo	1.2	1.7	3	8/15	7/15
Real Avilés	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Real Avilés sit 14th (44 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Arenas Getxo	38	15	7	16	46	55	52
14	Real Avilés	38	11	11	16	55	67	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés?: The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés played?: Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.