Match

Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoReal Avilés

The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Avilés wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés?

On Elo ratings, Arenas Getxo has 1,854 points and Real Avilés 1,924.

20%23%57%
Arenas Getxo winDrawReal Avilés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 9José Luis Cortés
  2. 23Álex Oyón
  3. 14E. Redondo
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 6I. Garcia
  3. 24Álvaro Arnedo
  1. 18Rubi
  2. 2J. Larrauri
  3. 15B. Arratibel
  4. 22A. Dufur
  1. 1Manuel Obón

Real Avilés

4-3-3
  1. 14Berto Cayarga
  2. 8B. Abelenda
  3. 19N. Poquet
  1. 7Cris Montes
  2. 9Álvaro Santamaría
  3. 5Samuel
  1. 20O. Carracedo
  2. 21Jon Sillero
  3. 23A. Lopez
  4. 15Eric Pérez
  1. 1Álvaro Ratón

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Real Avilés have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026CD Coria(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026UD Ourense(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Mérida AD(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Real Unión(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026UD Ourense(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Ponferradina(away)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win, 1 draw, 0 Real Avilés wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Arenas Getxo 3-2 Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 14, 2025Real Avilés 0-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo0.92.137/158/15
Real Avilés1.81.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Real Avilés sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Real Avilés10424181314
20Arenas Getxo102268228

A question about Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés played?
Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arenas Getxo and Real Avilés

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