Merw vs Ahal: result 1-3 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on June 14, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-3 on June 14, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ahal have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | Arkadag(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 13, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Aşgabat(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 13, 2025 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merw win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 1, 2024 | Ahal 5-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 0.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 1/15 | 4/15 |
| Ahal | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 8th in Ýokary Liga (11 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy