Merw vs Ahal: result 0-2 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on December 11, 2025 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 0-2 on December 11, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Ahal have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Ahal(away) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Nebitci(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Merw(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 3-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merw wins, 1 draw, 5 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ahal 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Merw 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (18 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Merw vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy