Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Romania U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17?
Mexico W U17 starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico W U17 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Romania U17 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Argentina U17(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Switzerland U17(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Côte d'Ivoire U17(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Korea Republic U17(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Serbia U17(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Serbia U17(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Portugal U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Iceland U17(away) | 5-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico W U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Romania U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico W U17 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Romania U17 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17?
- The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Romania U17.
- Where and when is Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17 played?
- Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Azteca, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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