Match

Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.

Mexico W U17Romania U17

The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Romania U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17?

Mexico W U17 starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,538).

Mexico W U17 win53 %
Draw21 %
Romania U17 win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico W U17 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Romania U17 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mexico W U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Portugal U17(home)0-5World Cup - U17
Nov 14, 2025Argentina U17(away)2-2World Cup - U17
Nov 10, 2025Switzerland U17(away)1-3World Cup - U17
Nov 7, 2025Côte d'Ivoire U17(home)1-0World Cup - U17
Nov 4, 2025Korea Republic U17(home)1-2World Cup - U17
Romania U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 5, 2026Serbia U17(away)1-2Friendlies
Jun 2, 2026Serbia U17(away)0-1Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Italy U17(home)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Portugal U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Iceland U17(away)5-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Mexico W U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Romania U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mexico W U172.11.675/1512/15
Romania U171.91.247/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17?
The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Romania U17.
Where and when is Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17 played?
Mexico W U17 vs Romania U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Azteca, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mexico W U17 and Romania U17

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