Where and when is Miami FC vs Sporting JAX played?

Miami FC vs Sporting JAX is played on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Miami FC vs Sporting JAX: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida

Miami FC

Sporting JAX

The Footlab model makes Miami FC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Miami FC (1,652) and Sporting JAX (1,636).

Miami FC win58 %

Draw21 %

Sporting JAX win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miami FC have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sporting JAX have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Miami FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Charleston Battery(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Hartford Athletic(away)	1-2	USL Championship
Aug 13, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-2	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Detroit City(home)	2-2	USL Championship

Sporting JAX
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Indy Eleven(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-2	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Miami FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sporting JAX win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Sporting JAX 0-1 Miami FC	USL League One Cup
Mar 25, 2026	Sporting JAX 2-4 Miami FC	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Sporting JAX vs Miami FC on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Miami FC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Miami FC	1.4	1.9	3	8/15	9/15
Sporting JAX	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Miami FC sit 8th in USL Championship (17 points from 13 matches) and Sporting JAX sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Miami FC	13	4	5	4	15	19	17
9	Miami FC	22	5	7	10	25	39	22
13	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15	34	3
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?: The Footlab model makes Miami FC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting JAX.
Where and when is Miami FC vs Sporting JAX played?: Miami FC vs Sporting JAX is played on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.