Match

Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham

Middlesbrough U21Monaco U21

The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Monaco U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21?

Middlesbrough U21 starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,628).

Middlesbrough U21 win50 %
Draw23 %
Monaco U21 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Monaco U21 have 5, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Norwich City U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors(away)3-1National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool(away)10-0National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026Chelsea U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One
Monaco U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Wolves U21(away)1-3Premier League International Cup
Jan 20, 2026Manchester City U21(away)3-1Premier League International Cup
Dec 19, 2025Everton U21(away)1-2Premier League International Cup
Dec 2, 2025Southampton U21(away)2-0Premier League International Cup
Aug 9, 2025Arsenal U21(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough U212.51.239/158/15
Monaco U211.81.8210/1310/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21?
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Monaco U21.
Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21 played?
Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21 is played on December 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Middlesbrough U21 and Monaco U21

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