Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Monaco U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21?
Middlesbrough U21 starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Monaco U21 have 5, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 10-0 | National League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 1-3 | Premier League International Cup |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Everton U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Southampton U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Arsenal U21(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough U21 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Monaco U21 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 10/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21?
- The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Monaco U21.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21 played?
- Middlesbrough U21 vs Monaco U21 is played on December 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II