Match

Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton, Hampshire

Southampton U21Monaco U21

The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Monaco U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21?

Southampton U21 starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,628).

Southampton U21 win48 %
Draw23 %
Monaco U21 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton U21 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Monaco U21 have 5, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southampton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U21(away)0-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Truro City(away)1-2National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-0Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sutton Utd(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Maidenhead(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Monaco U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Wolves U21(away)1-3Premier League International Cup
Jan 20, 2026Manchester City U21(away)3-1Premier League International Cup
Dec 19, 2025Everton U21(away)1-2Premier League International Cup
Dec 2, 2025Southampton U21(away)2-0Premier League International Cup
Aug 9, 2025Arsenal U21(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Southampton U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Monaco U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 2, 2025Southampton U21 0-2 Monaco U21Premier League International Cup

Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21 on Dec 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Southampton U211.61.5211/1511/15
Monaco U211.81.8210/1310/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21?
The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Monaco U21.
Where and when is Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21 played?
Southampton U21 vs Monaco U21 is played on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Staplewood Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Southampton U21 and Monaco U21

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