Blackburn vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,864) and Middlesbrough (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Middlesbrough have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blackburn win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Middlesbrough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Blackburn 0-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 9th in Championship (1 points from 1 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Who is out?
8 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. KargboBlackburnOut(Muscle Injury)
- D. De NeveBlackburnOut(Injury)
- L. MillerBlackburnOut(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- M. BaradjiBlackburnOut(Hamstring Injury)
- M. JørgensenBlackburnOut(Injury)
- S. WhartonBlackburnDoubtful(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- A. MorrisMiddlesbroughDoubtful(Injury)
- T. ConwayMiddlesbroughOut(Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Middlesbrough played?
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough is played on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.