Match

Migori Youth vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats

FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Migori Stadium, Migori

Migori YouthAPS Bomet

The Footlab AI model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for APS Bomet. The most likely score is 1-1. If Migori Youth wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Migori Youth vs APS Bomet?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Migori Youth (1,527) and APS Bomet (1,527).

36%32%32%
Migori Youth winDrawAPS Bomet win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Migori Youth vs APS Bomet

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Migori Youth

Not enough data to predict the Migori Youth lineup.

APS Bomet

Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migori Youth have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; APS Bomet have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Migori Youth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Mara Sugar(away)1-2FKF Premier League
Nov 1, 2026Mombasa Elite(home)2-0FKF Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Shabana(away)1-1FKF Premier League
Oct 24, 2026Mathare United(home)0-0FKF Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Police(home)1-1FKF Premier League
APS Bomet
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026KCB(away)0-1FKF Premier League
Nov 1, 2026Murang'a SEAL(home)0-0FKF Premier League
Oct 28, 20263K(home)3-0FKF Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Nairobi United(away)1-1FKF Premier League
Oct 17, 2026GOR Mahia(home)0-1FKF Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Migori Youth wins, 1 draw, 1 APS Bomet win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2025Migori Youth 1-0 APS BometSuper League
Jan 19, 2025APS Bomet 2-1 Migori YouthSuper League
May 2, 2022Migori Youth 2-0 APS BometSuper League
Dec 19, 2021APS Bomet 1-1 Migori YouthSuper League

Last archived meeting: Migori Youth vs APS Bomet on Apr 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Migori Youth score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Migori Youth1.30.677/155/15
APS Bomet1.10.3103/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Migori Youth sit 12th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and APS Bomet sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Migori Youth5131546
13APS Bomet6132436

A question about Migori Youth vs APS Bomet?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Migori Youth vs APS Bomet?
The Footlab AI model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for APS Bomet.
Where and when is Migori Youth vs APS Bomet played?
Migori Youth vs APS Bomet is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Migori Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Migori Youth and APS Bomet

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