Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, Homa Bay
The Footlab model makes Shabana the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Shabana (1,518) and Murang'a SEAL (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shabana have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Murang'a SEAL have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shabana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Murang'a SEAL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Shabana 1-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 1-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Shabana 3-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Shabana 0-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shabana score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Murang'a SEAL score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shabana sit 5th in FKF Premier League (52 points from 34 matches) and Murang'a SEAL sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 52 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
- The Footlab model makes Shabana the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL played?
- Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.