Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, Homa Bay
The Footlab AI model makes Shabana the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shabana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Shabana (1,531) and Murang'a SEAL (1,481).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shabana have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Murang'a SEAL have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shabana wins, 1 draw, 1 Murang'a SEAL win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Shabana 1-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 1-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Shabana 3-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Shabana 0-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shabana score 0.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Murang'a SEAL score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shabana sit 5th in FKF Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Murang'a SEAL sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shabana the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL played?
- Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.