Wigan vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wigan win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Wigan 0-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Plymouth 1-1 Wigan | League One |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Wigan 1-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Plymouth 1-2 Wigan | League One |
| Mar 9, 2021 | Plymouth 0-2 Wigan | League One |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Wigan 1-1 Plymouth | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Plymouth played?
- Wigan vs Plymouth is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.