Correcaminos UAT II vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, Ciudad Víctoria
The Footlab model makes Correcaminos UAT II the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Correcaminos UAT II vs Cañoneros Marina?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Correcaminos UAT II (1,794) and Cañoneros Marina (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Correcaminos UAT II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Chilpancingo(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | FC Santiago(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Correcaminos UAT II score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos UAT II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Correcaminos UAT II sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (36 points from 26 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 11th (22 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Correcaminos UAT II | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 36 |
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Correcaminos UAT II vs Cañoneros Marina?
- The Footlab model makes Correcaminos UAT II the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Correcaminos UAT II vs Cañoneros Marina played?
- Correcaminos UAT II vs Cañoneros Marina is played on November 24, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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