Carrarese vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Modena?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,721) and Modena (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Modena have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 1 draw, 4 Modena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Carrarese 0-0 Modena | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Carrarese 2-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Carrarese 2-3 Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 17th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Modena sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Carrarese vs Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Modena played?
- Carrarese vs Modena is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.