Mara Sugar vs Kenya Police: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kenya Police have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Bandari(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Vihiga Bullets(home) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kenya Police score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Kenya Police | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mara Sugar sit 11th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Kenya Police sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Mara Sugar vs Kenya Police?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy