MOIK vs Karvan: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Binə qəsəbə stadionu, Binə
The Footlab AI model makes MOIK the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Karvan. The most likely score is 1-1. If MOIK wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MOIK vs Karvan?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate MOIK (1,521) and Karvan (1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MOIK vs Karvan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MOIK
4-3-3- RRamil Orucov
- İİ. Əliyev
- EE. Abdullayev
- ÜÜ. İbazadə
- NN. Bayramov
- CC. Tağıyev
- FFərid Abbaslı
- NN. Tamazov
- NN. Qurbanlı
- NN. Əskərov
- ZZ. Əhmədzadə
Karvan
4-3-3- 11K. Spence
- 20J. Mickels
- 14U. Cahangirov
- 33E. Turabov
- 16R. Rüstəmli
- 17S. Abdullayev
- 2S. Sno
- 13V. Məsimov
- 5E. Rustamov
- 37M. Ngwisani
- 99Pedro Mateus
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MOIK have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karvan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Şimal(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 21, 2026 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 24, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MOIK win, 1 draw, 4 Karvan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | MOIK 1-1 Karvan | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Karvan 3-1 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 24, 2024 | MOIK 2-3 Karvan | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Karvan 1-0 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MOIK 0-1 Karvan | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Karvan 0-3 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
MOIK score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karvan score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIK | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Karvan | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MOIK sit 5th in Birinci Dasta (7 points from 4 matches) and Karvan sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
A question about MOIK vs Karvan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MOIK vs Karvan?
- The Footlab AI model makes MOIK the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Karvan.
- Where and when is MOIK vs Karvan played?
- MOIK vs Karvan is played on October 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Binə qəsəbə stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.