Caersws vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Denbigh Town?
On Elo ratings, Caersws has 1,679 points and Denbigh Town 1,617.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Denbigh Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caersws wins, 1 draw, 3 Denbigh Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caersws 6-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Denbigh Town 3-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Caersws 1-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Denbigh Town 2-0 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Caersws 1-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Denbigh Town 4-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Denbigh Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Caersws vs Denbigh Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Denbigh Town played?
- Caersws vs Denbigh Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.