Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The New Oval, Holyhead, Isle of Anglesey
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,569).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holyhead Hotspur have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bala Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Holyhead Hotspur win, 0 draws, 1 Bala Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town 3-4 Holyhead Hotspur | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-3 Bala Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holyhead Hotspur score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Town score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bala Town | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holyhead Hotspur sit 10th in FAW Championship (15 points from 13 matches) and Bala Town sit 5th (24 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | 24 |
| 10 | Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town played?
- Holyhead Hotspur vs Bala Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The New Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.