Montalegre vs Os Limianos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab model makes Montalegre the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Os Limianos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Os Limianos?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Montalegre (1,800) and Os Limianos (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Os Limianos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Sandinenses(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Os Limianos(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Vila Real(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 1-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montalegre win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Os Limianos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Montalegre 0-1 Os Limianos | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Os Limianos 2-3 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Os Limianos 3-2 Montalegre | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Montalegre vs Os Limianos on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Os Limianos score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Os Limianos | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (4 points from 2 matches) and Os Limianos sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Os Limianos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Montalegre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Os Limianos?
- The Footlab model makes Montalegre the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Os Limianos.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Os Limianos played?
- Montalegre vs Os Limianos is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.