Montalegre vs Os Limianos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Os Limianos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montalegre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Os Limianos?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Montalegre (1,871) and Os Limianos (1,904).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Os Limianos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Os Limianos
Not enough data to predict the Os Limianos lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Os Limianos have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aljustrelense(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montalegre win, 0 draws, 2 Os Limianos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Montalegre 0-1 Os Limianos | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Os Limianos 2-3 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Os Limianos 3-2 Montalegre | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Montalegre vs Os Limianos on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Os Limianos score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Os Limianos | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 8th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (6 points from 4 matches) and Os Limianos sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Os Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Montalegre vs Os Limianos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Os Limianos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Os Limianos.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Os Limianos played?
- Montalegre vs Os Limianos is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.