Tirsense vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chaves II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tirsense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirsense vs Chaves II?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Tirsense (1,916) and Chaves II (1,893).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tirsense vs Chaves II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirsense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chaves II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tirsense win, 1 draw, 0 Chaves II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tirsense 1-1 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Chaves II 0-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Tirsense vs Chaves II on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirsense sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 4 matches) and Chaves II sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Tirsense vs Chaves II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirsense vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chaves II.
- Where and when is Tirsense vs Chaves II played?
- Tirsense vs Chaves II is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.