Montalegre vs Varzim: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga 3Relegation Round - 5Kick-off on April 30, 2023 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
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What was the result of Montalegre vs Varzim?
Varzim won 0-1 on April 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 50′Umaro BaldéVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Varzim have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Fafe(away) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Varzim(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Fafe(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Fafe(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Montalegre(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | São João Ver(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Paredes(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montalegre win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2023 | Varzim 0-1 Montalegre | Liga 3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Montalegre 1-2 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Varzim 2-1 Montalegre | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varzim | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy