Montana vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Hebar 1918 (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | Hebar 1918 0-3 Montana | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Montana 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Montana 2-1 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Hebar 1918 1-3 Montana | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Montana vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Montana vs Hebar 1918 is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Sep 19, 2026NesebarvsBeroe
- Sep 19, 2026Spartak PlevenvsLudogorets II
- Sep 19, 2026DobrudzhavsCSKA Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsFratria
- Sep 19, 2026Yantra 2019vsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Sep 19, 2026MarekvsRilski Sportist
- Sep 19, 2026Sportist SvogevsVihren