Where and when is Marek vs Rilski Sportist played?

Marek vs Rilski Sportist is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marek vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

Marek

Rilski Sportist

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Marek (1,631) and Rilski Sportist (1,583).

Marek win49 %

Draw27 %

Rilski Sportist win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

Rilski Sportist
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Montana(home)	2-1	Second League
Aug 15, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Spartak Pleven(home)	2-2	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	0-1	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rilski Sportist win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 10, 2024	Marek 3-0 Rilski Sportist	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 7, 2021	Rilski Sportist 0-2 Marek	Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2020	Marek 3-2 Rilski Sportist	Third League - Southwest
Aug 31, 2019	Marek 2-1 Rilski Sportist	Third League - Southwest
Mar 9, 2019	Rilski Sportist 0-0 Marek	Third League - Southwest
Aug 22, 2018	Marek 0-1 Rilski Sportist	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Rilski Sportist on Feb 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Rilski Sportist	1.0	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
14	Rilski Sportist	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Rilski Sportist?: The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist.
Where and when is Marek vs Rilski Sportist played?: Marek vs Rilski Sportist is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.