Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Fratria 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Fratria 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Sep 19, 2026NesebarvsBeroe
- Sep 19, 2026Spartak PlevenvsLudogorets II
- Sep 19, 2026MontanavsHebar 1918
- Sep 19, 2026DobrudzhavsCSKA Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Yantra 2019vsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Sep 19, 2026MarekvsRilski Sportist
- Sep 19, 2026Sportist SvogevsVihren