Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529) and Montana (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Montana have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Montana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-4 Montana | Second League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Montana 1-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2020 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Montana | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Montana | Second League |
| May 19, 2019 | Montana 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-3 Montana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana on Apr 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Montana sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana?
- The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Montana.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026BeroevsVihren
- Nov 14, 2026NesebarvsFratria
- Nov 14, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsCSKA Sofia II
- Nov 14, 2026DobrudzhavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Nov 14, 2026Yantra 2019vsLudogorets II
- Nov 14, 2026MarekvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Nov 14, 2026Rilski SportistvsHebar 1918
- Nov 14, 2026Sportist SvogevsSpartak Pleven