Montana vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Rilski Sportist?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Rilski Sportist (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Montana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rilski Sportist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist 2-1 Montana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Rilski Sportist vs Montana on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Rilski Sportist?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist.
- Where and when is Montana vs Rilski Sportist played?
- Montana vs Rilski Sportist is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Mar 6, 2027Ludogorets IIvsCSKA Sofia II
- Mar 6, 2027Spartak PlevenvsBeroe
- Mar 6, 2027DobrudzhavsMarek
- Mar 6, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsNesebar
- Mar 6, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsHebar 1918
- Mar 6, 2027Sportist SvogevsYantra 2019
- Mar 6, 2027FratriavsVihren