Spartak Pleven vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Beroe?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Spartak Pleven (1,605) and Beroe (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Beroe have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Spartak Pleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Beroe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Beroe 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Beroe 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Spartak Pleven on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 7th in Second League (7 points from 4 matches) and Beroe sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Beroe?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Beroe.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Beroe played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Beroe is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Mar 6, 2027Ludogorets IIvsCSKA Sofia II
- Mar 6, 2027MontanavsRilski Sportist
- Mar 6, 2027DobrudzhavsMarek
- Mar 6, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsNesebar
- Mar 6, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsHebar 1918
- Mar 6, 2027Sportist SvogevsYantra 2019
- Mar 6, 2027FratriavsVihren