Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,651) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.