Fratria vs Vihren: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Vihren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Vihren?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fratria (1,726) and Vihren (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Vihren have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fratria win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vihren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren 2-2 Fratria | Second League |
| May 4, 2026 | Vihren 2-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fratria 2-0 Vihren | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vihren | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Vihren sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Vihren | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Vihren?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Vihren.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Vihren played?
- Fratria vs Vihren is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Mar 6, 2027Ludogorets IIvsCSKA Sofia II
- Mar 6, 2027Spartak PlevenvsBeroe
- Mar 6, 2027MontanavsRilski Sportist
- Mar 6, 2027DobrudzhavsMarek
- Mar 6, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsNesebar
- Mar 6, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsHebar 1918
- Mar 6, 2027Sportist SvogevsYantra 2019