Match

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad

Pirin BlagoevgradNesebar

The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nesebar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,458).

35%28%37%
Pirin Blagoevgrad winDrawNesebar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pirin Blagoevgrad

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Tasev
  2. 9M. Kokalkov
  3. 21K. Petsev
  1. 18V. Gogov
  2. 14A. Bliznakov
  3. 80M. Stefanov
  1. 30I. Kostov
  2. 3Deyan Ivanov
  3. 25G. Dimanchev
  4. 17D. Zanev
  1. 76K. Kostov

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Nesebar have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)1-1Second League
Oct 4, 2026Lokomotiv Mezdra(away)3-2Cup
Sep 26, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)0-1Second League
Sep 20, 2026Fratria(home)1-2Second League
Sep 13, 2026Marek(away)0-3Second League
Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad wins, 0 draws, 2 Nesebar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar 7-0 Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League
Mar 29, 2025Pirin Blagoevgrad 5-1 NesebarSecond League
Sep 15, 2024Nesebar 1-5 Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League
Apr 20, 2019Nesebar 2-3 Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League
Oct 6, 2018Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-3 NesebarSecond League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.706/1511/15
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (1 point from 12 matches) and Nesebar sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
18Pirin Blagoevgrad1201115341

A question about Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?
The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar played?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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