Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar played?

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,529).

Pirin Blagoevgrad win29 %

Draw28 %

Nesebar win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Blagoevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nesebar(away)	0-7	Second League
Aug 18, 2026	Hebar 1918(home)	2-3	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 3, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	0-3	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Dobrudzha(away)	1-5	Second League

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nesebar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nesebar 7-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad	Second League
Mar 29, 2025	Pirin Blagoevgrad 5-1 Nesebar	Second League
Sep 15, 2024	Nesebar 1-5 Pirin Blagoevgrad	Second League
Apr 20, 2019	Nesebar 2-3 Pirin Blagoevgrad	Second League
Oct 6, 2018	Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-3 Nesebar	Second League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pirin Blagoevgrad	0.8	2.1	4	5/15	8/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	5	0	0	5	3	19	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar played?: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.