Hebar 1918 vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Beroe?
Beroe starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Beroe have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hebar 1918 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Beroe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Beroe | First League |
| May 17, 2024 | Hebar 1918 0-1 Beroe | First League |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918 | First League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Hebar 1918 1-0 Beroe | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Beroe?
- The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Beroe.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Beroe played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Beroe is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsNesebar
- Nov 28, 2026Ludogorets IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 28, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsVihren
- Nov 28, 2026Spartak PlevenvsYantra 2019
- Nov 28, 2026MontanavsSportist Svoge
- Nov 28, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsDobrudzha
- Nov 28, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 28, 2026FratriavsMarek