Match

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo

Etar Veliko TarnovoNesebar

The Footlab AI model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Etar Veliko Tarnovo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar?

On Elo ratings, Etar Veliko Tarnovo has 1,619 points and Nesebar 1,647.

56%24%20%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo winDrawNesebar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

4-3-3
  1. 27T. Tsanev
  2. 11S. Traykov
  3. 21I. Markov
  1. 8V. Vasilev
  2. 16S. Dobrev
  3. 7Rosen Ivanov
  1. 4G. Aleksandrov
  2. 13A. Pemperski
  3. 5N. Borisov
  4. 77M. Nikolov
  1. 23N. Videnov

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  3. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 10V. Dotsev
  3. 19M. Zegai
  1. 5P. Dimov
  2. 14Dimitar Balinov
  3. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 25Martin Sheytanov

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nesebar have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Montana(home)1-1Second League
Oct 30, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)2-0Second League
Oct 23, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Oct 19, 2026Spartak Varna(home)2-4Cup
Oct 9, 2026Fratria(home)2-0Second League
Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ludogorets II(away)0-2Second League
Oct 31, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-2Second League
Oct 23, 2026Hebar 1918(away)1-2Second League
Oct 18, 2026CSKA Sofia(home)0-2Cup
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Etar Veliko Tarnovo wins, 1 draw, 1 Nesebar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Nesebar 1-5 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League
May 11, 2025Nesebar 0-2 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League
Feb 1, 2025Nesebar 1-2 Etar Veliko TarnovoFriendlies Clubs
Nov 16, 2024Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-0 NesebarSecond League
Jun 29, 2024Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-1 NesebarFriendlies Clubs
May 27, 2017Nesebar 2-2 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.51.8411/159/15
Nesebar1.51.247/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 11th in Second League (21 points from 14 matches) and Nesebar sit 14th (18 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635232221
14Nesebar15537222318

A question about Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar?
The Footlab AI model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar played?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Nesebar