Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montecchio Gallo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,933 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone?
On Elo ratings, Montecchio Gallo has 1,742 points and Fossombrone 1,697.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Montecchio Gallo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fossombrone have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Montecchio Gallo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 9; Fossombrone score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montecchio Gallo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Fossombrone | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montecchio Gallo sit 7th in Serie D - Girone F (15 points from 10 matches) and Fossombrone sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone played?
- Montecchio Gallo vs Fossombrone is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.