Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
The Footlab AI model makes Recanatese the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Recanatese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Recanatese (1,539) and Termoli Calcio (1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Recanatese wins, 1 draw, 1 Termoli Calcio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Recanatese 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 4, 2025 | Recanatese 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (6 points from 7 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Recanatese the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.