Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
The Footlab model makes Recanatese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Recanatese (1,621) and Termoli Calcio (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Victor San Marino(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sora(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sammaurese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Recanatese win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Termoli Calcio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Recanatese 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 4, 2025 | Recanatese 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (32 points from 34 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 39 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab model makes Recanatese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Recanatese vs Termoli Calcio is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.