Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes Maceratese the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maceratese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Maceratese (1,560) and Sporting Trestina (1,543).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Trestina sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maceratese the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina played?
- Maceratese vs Sporting Trestina is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.