Match

Ternana vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni

TernanaLucchese

The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ternana vs Lucchese?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Ternana (1,769) and Lucchese (1,695).

49%24%27%
Ternana winDrawLucchese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ternana vs Lucchese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ternana

Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.

Lucchese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Magnaghi
  2. 70E. Saporiti
  3. 10A. Selvini
  1. 21E. Visconti
  2. 27R. Gucher
  3. 96G. Galli
  1. 5S. Benedetti
  2. 29E. Antoni
  3. 30A. Gemignani
  4. 3N. Rizzo
  1. 59R. Melgrati

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lucchese have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lucchese(away)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)4-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Scandicci(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)3-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Mezzolara(away)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ternana(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Seravezza(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Grassina(away)6-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Rondinella(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ternana win, 1 draw, 1 Lucchese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lucchese 2-2 TernanaSerie D - Girone E
Mar 30, 2025Lucchese 4-1 TernanaSerie C - Girone B
Nov 17, 2024Ternana 5-0 LuccheseSerie C - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Ternana on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ternana1.31.3211/158/15
Lucchese2.11.8410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 6 matches) and Lucchese sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Lucchese6411161113
9Ternana6222958

A question about Ternana vs Lucchese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Lucchese?
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lucchese.
Where and when is Ternana vs Lucchese played?
Ternana vs Lucchese is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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