Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Rondinella. The most likely score is 0-0. If Montevarchi Calcio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Rondinella (1,693) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rondinella
Not enough data to predict the Rondinella lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Rondinella have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Rondinella win, 0 draws, 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-1 Rondinella | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rondinella score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 11; Montevarchi Calcio score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rondinella | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rondinella sit 15th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 11 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 15 | Rondinella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Rondinella.
- Where and when is Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Rondinella vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.