Montpellier vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab model makes Montpellier the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Saint Etienne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Saint Etienne?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Montpellier (1,910) and Saint Etienne (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Saint Etienne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montpellier win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Saint Etienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Montpellier 1-2 Saint Etienne | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Montpellier on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Saint Etienne | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 2nd in Ligue 2 (7 points from 3 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Saint Etienne?
- The Footlab model makes Montpellier the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Saint Etienne.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Saint Etienne played?
- Montpellier vs Saint Etienne is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.