Montpellier vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Montpellier. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Saint Etienne?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Montpellier (1,946) and Saint Etienne (1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Saint Etienne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Saint Etienne have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montpellier wins, 0 draws, 6 Saint Etienne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Montpellier 1-2 Saint Etienne | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Montpellier on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
A question about Montpellier vs Saint Etienne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Saint Etienne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Montpellier.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Saint Etienne played?
- Montpellier vs Saint Etienne is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.