Rodez vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rodez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodez vs Metz?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Rodez (1,882) and Metz (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodez vs Metz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Rodez wins, 2 draws, 3 Metz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz 4-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2025 | Metz 3-3 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Rodez 1-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Metz 1-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Rodez 1-4 Metz | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodez sit 15th in Ligue 2 (7 points from 8 matches) and Metz sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Rodez vs Metz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Metz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rodez.
- Where and when is Rodez vs Metz played?
- Rodez vs Metz is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.