AC Milan vs Juventus: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Juventus. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,537 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Milan vs Juventus?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate AC Milan (2,184) and Juventus (2,170).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Juventus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Milan
4-4-1-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 11C. Pulišić
- 14L. Modrić
- 30A. Jashari
- 20O. Hutchinson
- 33D. Bartesaghi
- 31S. Pavlović
- 5K. De Winter
- 23F. Tomori
- 13S. Bocoum
- 16M. Maignan
Juventus
3-1-4-2- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 27N. Woltemade
- 22W. McKennie
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 15P. Kalulu
- 20A. Cambiaso
- 8T. Koopmeiners
- 3Bremer
- 26J. Lucumí
- 4F. Gatti
- 25G. Vicario
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Juventus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AC Milan win, 4 draws, 1 Juventus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventus 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | AC Milan 0-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Juventus 0-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Juventus 2-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Juventus 1-2 AC Milan | Super Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | AC Milan 0-0 Juventus | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Juventus | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (18 points from 8 matches) and Juventus sit 7th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
A question about AC Milan vs Juventus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Juventus?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Juventus.
- Where and when is AC Milan vs Juventus played?
- AC Milan vs Juventus is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.