AS Roma vs Monza: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Monza. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Roma vs Monza?
AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (2,205 vs 1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Monza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 4B. Cristante
- 7L. Pellegrini
- 22Hermoso
- 23G. Mancini
- 5E. Ndicka
- 99M. Svilar
Monza
3-4-2-1- 9Gustavo Varela
- 7Ricardo Mangas
- 19S. Birindelli
- 14E. Akinsanmiro
- 90M. Folorunsho
- 16C. Ngonge
- 22E. Zeballos
- 3L. Lucchesi
- 60E. Kouadio
- 44A. Carboni
- 1N. Törnqvist
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Monza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AS Roma wins, 2 draws, 0 Monza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | AS Roma 4-0 Monza | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Monza 1-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Monza 1-4 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | AS Roma 1-0 Monza | Serie A |
| May 3, 2023 | Monza 1-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2022 | AS Roma 3-0 Monza | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monza score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Monza | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Roma sit 3rd in Serie A (14 points from 6 matches) and Monza sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
A question about AS Roma vs Monza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Monza?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Monza.
- Where and when is AS Roma vs Monza played?
- AS Roma vs Monza is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.